The Surprising Amount of Home Equity You’ve Gained over the Years
The Surprising Amount of Home Equity You’ve Gained over the Years
There are a number of reasons you may be thinking about selling your house. And as you weigh your options, you may find you’re unsure how you’re going to deal with one thing about today’s housing market – and that’s affordability. If that’s your biggest concern, understanding how much equity you have in your house could help make your decision that much easier. Here are two key factors that have a big impact on your equity.
How Long You’ve Been in Your Home
First up is homeowner tenure. That’s how long homeowners live in a house, on average, before selling or choosing to move. From 1985 to 2009, the average length of time homeowners stayed put was roughly six years.
But according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), that number has been climbing. Now, the average tenure is 10 years (see graph below):
Here’s why that’s such a big deal. You gain equity as you pay down your home loan and as home prices climb. And when you combine all of your mortgage payments with how much prices have gone up over the span of 10 years, that adds up. So, if you’ve lived in your house for a while now, you may be sitting on a pile of equity.
How Home Prices Appreciate over Time
To help show how much the price appreciation piece adds up, take a look at this data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) (see graph below):
Here’s what this means for you. While home prices vary by area, the typical homeowner who’s been in their house for five years saw it increase in value by nearly 60%. And the average homeowner who’s owned their home for 30 years saw it more than triple in value in that time.
Whether you’re looking to downsize, relocate to a dream destination, or move so you can live closer to friends or loved ones, your equity can be a game changer.
Bottom Line
Let's find out how much equity you’ve built up over the years and how you can use it to buy your next home!
How the Federal Reserve’s Next Move Could Impact the Housing Market
How the Federal Reserve’s Next Move Could Impact the Housing Market
Now that it’s September, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve (the Fed). The overwhelming expectation is that they’ll cut the Federal Funds Rate at their upcoming meeting, driven primarily by recent signs that inflation is cooling, and the job market is slowing down. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, said:
“They’re ready to cut, just as long as we don’t get an inflation surprise between now and September, which we won’t.”
But what does this mean for the housing market, and more importantly, for you as a potential homebuyer or seller?
Why a Federal Funds Rate Cut Matters
The Federal Funds Rate is one of the key factors that influences mortgage rates – things like the economy, geopolitical uncertainty, and more also have an impact.
When the Fed cuts the Federal Funds Rate, it signals what’s happening in the broader economy, and mortgage rates tend to respond. While a single rate cut might not lead to a dramatic drop in mortgage rates, it could contribute to the gradual decline that’s already happening.
As Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), points out:
“Once the Fed kicks off a rate-cutting cycle, we do expect that mortgage rates will move somewhat lower.”
And any upcoming Federal Funds Rate cut likely won’t be a one-time event. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), says:
“Generally, the rate-cutting cycle is not one-and-done. Six to eight rounds of rate cuts all through 2025 look likely.”
The Projected Impact on Mortgage Rates
Here’s what experts in the industry project for mortgage rates through 2025. One contributing factor to this ongoing gradual decline is the anticipated cuts from the Fed. The graph below shows the latest forecasts from Fannie Mae, MBA, NAR, and Wells Fargo (see graph below):
So, with recent improvements in inflation and signs of a cooling job market, a Federal Funds Rate cut is likely to lead to a moderate decline in mortgage rates (shown in the dotted lines). Here are two big reasons why that’s good news for both buyers and sellers:
1. It Helps Alleviate the Lock-In Effect
For current homeowners, lower mortgage rates could help ease the lock-in effect. That’s where people feel stuck within their current home because today’s rates are higher than what they locked in when they bought their current house.
If the fear of losing your low-rate mortgage and facing higher costs has kept you out of the market, a slight reduction in rates could make selling a bit more attractive again. However, this isn’t expected to bring a flood of sellers to the market, as many homeowners may still be cautious about giving up their existing mortgage rate.
2. It Should Boost Buyer Activity
For potential homebuyers, any drop in mortgage rates will provide a more inviting housing market. Lower mortgage rates can reduce the overall cost of homeownership, making it more feasible for you if you’ve been waiting to make a move.
What Should You Do?
While a Federal Funds Rate cut is not expected to lead to drastically lower mortgage rates, it will likely contribute to the gradual decrease that’s already happening.
And while the anticipated rate cut represents a positive shift for the future of the housing market, it’s important to consider your options right now. Jacob Channel, Senior Economist at LendingTree, sums it up well:
“Timing the market is basically impossible. If you’re always waiting for perfect market conditions, you’re going to be waiting forever. Buy now only if it’s a good idea for you.”
Bottom Line
The expected Federal Funds Rate cut, driven by improving inflation and slower job growth, is likely to have a positive, albeit gradual, impact on mortgage rates. That could help unlock opportunities for you. When you’re ready, let's get together and make sure you’re prepared to take action.
5 Almost Free Kitchen Updates That Will Transform Your Space
We all love a low-cost kitchen update, and guess what? Some of the best changes are practically free! With just a few bucks and a bit of creativity, you can give your kitchen a fresh new look without diving into a full renovation. Check out these five almost-free updates that prove you don’t have to break the bank to breathe new life into your space. Don’t forget to save this post and share it with a friend who could use these clever tips!
1. Paint or Stain Just the Kitchen Island
Your kitchen island is the centerpiece of your space, so why not give it a makeover? A fresh coat of paint or stain can dramatically change the look of your kitchen. Choose a bold color for a modern twist or a classic stain for a timeless appeal. It’s a simple update that makes a big impact!
2. Rework What You Already Have
Before you buy new decor or storage solutions, take a look at what you already own. Repurpose old items, rearrange furniture, or mix and match different elements. Sometimes, a little creativity is all it takes to make your current items feel brand new.
3. Swap Out Old Hardware
Updating your cabinet handles and drawer pulls is an easy and inexpensive way to refresh your kitchen’s look. Choose modern or vintage-style hardware to match your aesthetic. This small change can make a huge difference in the overall feel of your space.
4. Organize for Efficiency
An organized kitchen isn’t just visually appealing—it’s also more functional. Invest in inexpensive organizers for your drawers and cabinets, or create your own using items you have at home. A tidy kitchen not only looks great but also makes cooking and cleaning more efficient.
5. Roll Out a Runner
Add a stylish runner to your kitchen floor to introduce a new pattern or color. It’s an easy way to update your space without committing to a full flooring change. Choose a runner that complements your existing decor and enjoy the fresh, new look!
Transforming your kitchen doesn’t have to be costly or complicated. With these simple updates, you can refresh your space and enjoy a new kitchen feel without spending a fortune. Ready to give your kitchen a makeover? Start with these easy, almost-free updates!
What's the Impact of Presidential Elections on the Housing Market?
What's the Impact of Presidential Elections on the Housing Market?
It’s no surprise that the upcoming Presidential election might have you speculating about what’s ahead. And those unanswered thoughts can quickly spiral, causing fear and uncertainty to swirl through your mind. So, if you’ve been considering buying or selling a home this year, you’re probably curious about what the election might mean for the housing market – and if it’s still a good time to make your move.
Here’s the good news that may surprise you: typically, Presidential elections have only had a small, temporary impact on the housing market. But your questions are definitely worth answering, so you don’t have to pause your plans in the meantime.
Here’s a look at decades of data that shows exactly what’s happened to home sales, prices, and mortgage rates in previous Presidential election cycles, so you can move forward with the facts as you weigh the pros and cons of your homeownership decision.
Home SalesIn the month leading up to a Presidential election, from October to November, there’s typically a slight slowdown in home sales (see graph below):
Some consumers will simply wait it out before they make their purchase decision. However, it’s important to know this slowdown is small and temporary.
Historically, home sales bounce right back and continue to rise the following year. In fact, data from the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows after 9 of the last 11 Presidential elections, home sales went up the year after the election, and it’s been happening consistently since the early 1990s (see chart below):
Home PricesYou may also be wondering about home prices. Do prices come down during election years? Not typically. As residential appraiser and housing analyst Ryan Lundquist notes:
“An election year doesn’t alter the price trend that is already happening in the market.”
Home prices generally rise over time, regardless of an election cycle. So, based on what history shows, you can expect the current pricing trend in your local market to likely continue, barring any unusual market or economic circumstances.
The latest data from NAR reveals that after 7 of the last 8 Presidential elections, home prices increased the following year (see chart below):
The one outlier was from 2008 to 2009, which was during the height of the housing market crash. That was certainly not a typical year. Today’s market, however, is much more resilient. And while prices are moderating nationally, they aren’t on an overall decline.
Mortgage RatesAnd the third thing that’s likely on your mind is mortgage rates, since they impact your monthly payment if you’re financing a home. Looking at the last 11 Presidential election years, data from Freddie Mac shows mortgage rates decreased from July to November in 8 of them (see chart below):
And this year, we’ve already started to see that happen. Most experts also forecast mortgage rates will ease slightly throughout the rest of 2024. If that happens – and all signs right now indicate it should – this year will continue to follow the trend of declining rates. So, if you’re looking to buy a home in the coming months, this could be great news for your purchasing power.
What This Means for YouWhat’s the big takeaway? While Presidential elections do have some impact on the housing market, the effects are usually minimal. As Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist at Bright MLS, says:
“Historically, the housing market doesn’t tend to look very different in presidential election years compared to other years.”
For most buyers and sellers, elections don’t have a major impact on their plans.
Bottom Line
While it’s natural to feel a bit uncertain during an election year, history shows the housing market remains strong and resilient. And this means you don’t have to pause your plans in the meantime. For help navigating the market during this election cycle, feel free to reach out!
Haley Team
Phone:+1(270) 726-2900